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United States · Economy and society

U.S. poverty falls under the official measure and holds steady under the alternative

The data released September 15 describe 2025. The two indicators account for different resources and expenses.

A folded U.S. twenty-dollar banknote
A U.S. twenty-dollar banknote. Illustrative photograph. United States Department of the Treasury · Public domain · Image resized; cropped for display.

Carried-forward report: the data released September 15 describe 2025. This is not a new announcement on September 17.

The official U.S. poverty rate stood at 10.2% in 2025, down 0.5 percentage points, according to the Census Bureau. It represented 34.5 million people. The Supplemental Poverty Measure reached 13.1%, with no statistically significant change from 2024. [1]

Why the indicators differ

The official measure uses pretax money income. The supplemental indicator includes more benefits, deducts taxes and selected expenses, and accounts for geographic differences in housing costs. [1]

In its general release, the Census Bureau also reports that real median household income reached US$87,460 in 2025. A national median and a poverty rate answer different questions: movement in one does not automatically describe the circumstances of every household. [2]

An annual assessment, not a September snapshot

Romina Boccia of the Cato Institute criticizes how the indicators treat government assistance and thresholds. Her analysis encourages examining what each series measures before assessing the effectiveness of social protection. It is an interpretation of the methods, distinct from the statistical release itself. [3]

The Center for American Progress instead emphasizes risks associated with future changes to social programmes. Its warnings are forward-looking: the 2025 figures alone cannot establish the effects of provisions implemented later. [4]

The publication date should therefore not be confused with the year observed. The release issued in September 2026 describes income and insurance coverage in 2025. Assessing more recent changes in living standards requires considering other indicators alongside these data, without attributing findings they do not measure. [2]

Perspectives compared

Statistical findings
U.S. Census Bureau — Poverty in the United States: 2025

The Census Bureau distinguishes the measures and statistical significance. [1]

Methods
Cato Institute — Romina Boccia

Cato questions the treatment of benefits and thresholds. [3]

Future policy
Center for American Progress

CAP highlights future risks, rather than effects already measured. [4]

Sources and documents