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Canada · Economy

Canada: inflation reaches 3.1% in September

Gasoline price growth accelerates while grocery price growth slows.

Facade of the Bank of Canada’s historic building
The Bank of Canada’s historic building in Ottawa. Illustrative photograph. Wladyslaw · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Image resized; cropped for display.

Carried forward October 21. September data released October 19.

Canada’s annual inflation reached 3.1% in September, up from 3.0% in August, according to Statistics Canada data released on October 19. [1]

The weight of fuel

Gasoline costs 27.8% more than a year earlier. Excluding gasoline, overall price growth slowed to 2.2%, from 2.4%. [1]

Slower grocery price growth

Reuters reports that grocery prices rose 1.7% over the year. Slower growth does not mean that prices are falling. [2]

The next monetary policy decision

Reuters reports that analysts expected 3.2%. CPI-median and CPI-trim stood at 1.9% and 1.8%, respectively. These indicators inform the Bank of Canada’s October 28 decision without determining its outcome. [2]

Perspectives compared

Prices
Statistics Canada

Annual inflation rises from 3.0% to 3.1%. [1]

Energy
Statistics Canada

Gasoline drives the headline acceleration. [1]

Rates
Reuters

Core measures offer another perspective. [2]

Sources and documents